Market Update 10/19 - USDCAD Bounce Time?

COPPER FUTURES DAILY

Hg1 2021 10 19 16 16 15 1024X508 - Market Update 10/19 - USDCAD Bounce Time?

Copper has carved 2 bearish wicks the last 2 days, raising the specter of a pullback following the breakout on 10/13.  Former resistance is proposed support beginning at 4.4715.  The bottom of the support zone is the top side of former trendline resistance near 4.3755.

AUDUSD DAILY

Audusd 2021 10 19 16 24 36 1024X476 - Market Update 10/19 - USDCAD Bounce Time?

Commodity FX has been on an tear.  AUDUSD tagged the September high today so we could get a pullback.  If we do then watch for support near .7425, which is the center line of the channel from the February high (this line was resistance in June).  More important resistance isn’t until .7530/60.  This level is loaded with the February and April lows, 2 legs up from the August low, the 200 day average, channel resistance, and VWAP resistance (see futures chart below).

AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR FUTURES

Ad 1024X497 - Market Update 10/19 - USDCAD Bounce Time?

GBPUSD DAILY

Gbpusd 2021 10 19 16 19 28 1024X508 - Market Update 10/19 - USDCAD Bounce Time?

GBPUSD has traded into the line that extends off of the June and September highs.  The level is defended by the 200 day average (just above) and VWAP resistance (see futures chart below) so I’m ‘thinking’ pullback.  In the event of a pullback, keep 1.3670s in mind for support.

BRITISH POUND FUTURES DAILY

Bp 1 1024X497 - Market Update 10/19 - USDCAD Bounce Time?

NZDUSD DAILY

Nzdusd 2021 10 19 16 27 21 1024X508 - Market Update 10/19 - USDCAD Bounce Time?

NZDUSD has broken out.  Similar to AUDUSD, price tagged the September high today so we could see a pause in the relentless move higher.  If that happens, then watch for support near .7070-.7100.  The next important level proposed resistance and a possible short is .7225/40s.  This is 2 equal legs from the August low and channel resistance.

USDCAD DAILY

Usdcad 2021 10 19 16 40 23 1024X476 - Market Update 10/19 - USDCAD Bounce Time?

USDCAD has spent 4 days trading around the 61.8% retrace of the rally from the June low. Also, today’s long lower wick and 4 hour volume reversal (see below) suggest that a relief bounce could take hold. With resistance probably not until 1.2490s, I’m willing to trade the long side against today’s low.

10/14 – USDCAD is getting destroyed but price closed today at a possible bounce level defined by the 61.8% retrace of the rally from June.  The level is reinforced by the March low.  There is obviously no evidence that price is going to bounce from this level but if it does then former support at 1.2493 is in line for resistance now.  This would be near the equivalent of 2021 VWAP on CAD futures (see below), which has been a pivot all year for CAD.

CANADIAN DOLLAR FUTURES 4 HOUR

Cd 1024X497 - Market Update 10/19 - USDCAD Bounce Time?