Market Update - July 28

So much for ‘extreme sentiment’ towards the USD.  DXY dropped for a 7th straight day today.  Price is now testing the trendline from the 2011 low.  The lower parallel from the channel off of the March high is slightly lower…about **93.15 **(see below).  At this point, I’m not sure where the next level of interest is if DXY fails to hold.

DXY DAILY

Dxy Daily 7 27 2020 2 920X448 - Market Update - July 28

EURUSD DAILY

Eurusd Daily 7 27 2020 920X448 - Market Update - July 28

EURUSD is fast approaching the top of the channel from the 2008 high.  The level is bolstered by the 61.8% retrace of the decline from the 2018 high and highs from September and June 2018 at 1.1823/52.  Big level so maybe EURUSD stops going up everyday.  Also, daily RSI is above 81.  The next 3 charts show previous instances of daily RSI above 81.  Most of these extreme RSI readings led to either sideways trading or formation of a top.

EURUSD DAILY

Eurusd Daily 7 27 2020 1 920X426 - Market Update - July 28

EURUSD DAILY

Eurusd Daily 7 27 2020 2 920X426 - Market Update - July 28

EURUSD DAILY

Eurusd Daily 7 27 2020 3 920X426 - Market Update - July 28

USDJPY 4 HOUR

Usdjpy 240M 7 27 2020 920X448 - Market Update - July 28

USDJPY continues to respect levels within the channel from the March high.  Today’s low is in on the 75 line.  A  bounce back into the center line would present a short opportunity near 106.16.  The next downside level is the lower parallel near where the decline from March would consist of 2 equal legs at 104.12.

SILVER FUTURES DAILY

Silver Daily 7 27 2020 920X448 - Market Update - July 28

Pay attention to silver at 25.12-26.23.  This is the September 2013 high, 2011 and 2012 support, and the 38.2% retrace of the decline from the 2011 high.  If this freight train is going to stop for at least a short while, then this would be a good range to provide resistance.  Also, daily RSI is above 84!  Prior instances are shown with the next 2 charts (note that this is only since the inception of SLV).  The only time that a reading this high didn’t mark an important top was in October 2010.

SLV DAILY

Slv Daily 7 27 2020 1 920X426 - Market Update - July 28

SLV DAILY

Slv Daily 7 27 2020 2 920X426 - Market Update - July 28